Pacific Powder: Here Comes La Niña

Pacific Northwest (Shred White and Blue)-It’s time to start waxing up the big boards in the Pacific Northwest, as the prediction for a strong La Niña weather pattern is gaining strength across the U.S.

Compared to the El Niño pattern that rocked the Southwest Rocky Mountains with tons of wet snow last season (and actually resulted in some deep powder poaching in the off-limits hoodoos of Bryce Canyon National Park in Utah), La Niña tends to send the deepest days to places like Crystal Mountain and Baker in Washington State.

Consistent with nearly all of the forecast models, La Niña is expected to last at least into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2011. Just over half of the models, as well as the dynamical and statistical averages, predict La Niña to become a strong episode (defined by a 3-month average Niño-3.4 index of –1.5oC or colder) by the November-January season before beginning to weaken. Even though the rate of anomalous cooling temporarily abated during September, this model outcome is favored due to the historical tendency for La Niña to strengthen as winter approaches.

Likely La Niña impacts during October-December 2010 include suppressed convection over the central tropical Pacific Ocean, and enhanced convection over Indonesia. The transition into the Northern Hemisphere fall means that La Niña will begin to exert an increasing influence on the weather and climate of the United States. Expected U.S. impacts include an enhanced chance of above-average precipitation in the Pacific Northwest, and below-average precipitation across the southern tier of the country.

For the surf set, La Niña can contribute to increased Atlantic hurricane activity by decreasing the vertical wind shear over the Caribbean Sea and tropical Atlantic Ocean. Conversely, La Niña is associated with suppressed hurricane activity across the central and eastern tropical North Pacific.

According to the AFP media services, World Meteorological Organization climate services chief Rupa Kumar Kolli said a “moderate to strong” La Nina, which appeared in July, was now well established.
Kumar Kolli told journalists that forecasts showed “rather a strengthening of this La Nina episode for the next four to six months.”

Hang on Shred America, it’s going to be another wild ride!

South America Bound

Santiago, Chile (Shred White and Blue)—Big storms are breaking down South America way, especially in Portillo, Valle Nevado and La Parva, Chile, where over the past week they’ve been counting the snow by the footload.

So the Shred White and Blue crew is taking a plane to Lima for a midnight changeover, and then to Santiago to see what we can ski. Termas de Chillan is on the menu, (not for the casino, but maybe for the spa), as is Portillo, and Valle Nevado, right next door to where the Subaru World Freeskiing Tour kicks off at La Parva on Sept. 3. (check out www.skipressworld.com for regular updates on that, as well as reports and photos on the trip overall). And please excuse us if we don’t answer your e-mail right away.

In the meantime, here are a couple Foam Bits for you:

How Clean is Your Beach?

Surfside, USA (SWB)—Our beaches are not enjoying the summer at all according to a report from the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC). Across the country, they posted more than 20,000 closing or advisory days last year – and not because of dangerous waves!

Water quality the culprit, including everything from raw sewage to chemicals to nasty body eating bacteria. The NRDC rated how badly the most popular beaches bit it with a cool interactive feature that you can check out here.

Save the Waves and Mavericks Pitch Cool Tee

Half Moon Bay, Calif. (SWB)—Mavericks Surf Ventures, Inc. (Mavericks) and Save The Waves Coalition announced a special edition t-shirt – made from recycled PET plastic bottles.  The shirt is the result of a multi-year partnership between the two organizations with five dollars from the sale of each shirt going directly to Save The Waves, the non-profit dedicated to the preservation and defense of the world’s surf spots and their surrounding environments. Get one at www.savethewaves.org

Classic Utah Powder Video

Worldwide Web (SWB)—And then there’s this – some absolutely ridiculous old-time ski footage from Alta, Utah. Stein Eriksen is the legend in the flashy space pants. These guys kill it on old school longboards.

//photo by flickr/jcablarca

That is so 1974 – The Return of Plaid Rock!

Stuck in the ’70s, Colo. (Shred White and Blue) — Mike Horn and I have this dream where we get a 1969 Camaro, convert it to run on vegetable oil, slap some big ass snow tires on it, paint the Shred White and Blue on the hood and go chasing powder this season – non-stop!

It’s kind of our re-imagining of what we figure was one of the absolute highlight eras of ski bumming, with no traffic on I-70, double chairs, long boards, in-bounds faceshots and wet t-shirt contests. Of course we’d have an 8-track, and we’d be playing lots of plaid rock. And not that Nirvana Seattle sound of super fuzzed amps and anguished vocals right from the gut, but more Neil Young and The Band, early Eagles and maybe a sweet scratchy version of the Flying Burrito Brothers singing “Close Up the Honky Tonks.”

And Creedence Clearwater Revival, of course.

My dad loved that stuff. So we loved it. Up and down the mountains my brother and I would be listening to his off-key butchering of “Take it to the Limit,” “Cowgirl in the Sand,” and “Who’ll Stop the Rain,” while we played air guitars and ski boot drums in the back.

He took us to see the Last Waltz when it came out. And we were kind of bored, but we dug it. We just didn’t realize yet what it meant for Robbie Robertson and Neil Young, Van Morrison and Joni Mitchell and Muddy Waters to share a stage like that.

But I hear “Helpless” come on the radio now and I get all fired up. I hear “Peaceful, Easy Feeling,” and I head down memory lane thinking about every chairlift with a girl with a ponytail on it. And “Born to Run” makes me think of moguls, pounding the monster bumps of Prima, Frenchman’s and Palli all wired on Snickers and 7-Up.

And lately I’ve heard a couple bands that make it sound like the whole plaid rock grassy roots of it might be coming back. You know, with a spare honest sound that isn’t over-produced and a couple hungry-eyed Robbie Robertson and Levon Helm-looking guys that can either play you some pretty music or come down off the stage and whoop your ass.

Here are a couple videos of what are some very hopeful signs for plaid rock – starting with one from the Avett Brothers that was actually recorded on the Jackson Hole gondola. Check out writer/film man Jay Sweet’s description of the experience putting it all together for Paste Magazine as well.

From the Northwest, land of hairy trees and deep powder, the hard-rocking boys of Blitzen Trapper singing Wild Mountain Home:

And representing the fast, cold slopes of New York and New England, the Felice Brothers getting urban with Frankie’s Gun

Camaro photo: flickr/brokenrhino